Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Friday, May 22, 2015
aberrant salience meets rosser reeves uptown
This requires subconscious (and conscious) brand cues throughout, fuelling the content-addressable memory. Branded neuro-richness, if you prefer.
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Eaon Pritchard
at
Friday, May 22, 2015
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Labels: aberrant salience, psychosis, rosser reeves
Friday, May 15, 2015
catenaccio, totaalvoetbal, tiki-taka
On the evening of 31 May 1972 in Rotterdam, Ajax of Amsterdam defeat Internazionale of Milan 2-0 - via two second-half goals from Johan Cruyff - to win the European Champions cup for the second successive year.
The Times reported ‘Ajax proved that creative attack is the real lifeblood of the game; that blanket defence can be outwitted and outmanoeuvred, and by doing so they made the outlines of the night a little sharper and the shadows a little brighter.’
This game is often said to be totaalvoetbal’s finest moment.
The Dutch press trumpeted ‘The Inter system undermined. Defensive football is destroyed.’
The Inter system, or catenaccio was a tactical system in football with a strong emphasis on defence.
The system had been employed most notably and successfully by Helenio Herrera, coach for the great Internazionale team - known as Grande Inter - in the latter half of the1960s.
Inter dominated domestic Italian football during this period and when they won three Scudetti, two European Champions Cups and two Intercontinental Cups.
Herrera adapted the traditional Italian 5–3–2 formation known as the verrou (door bolt) - a parking-the-bus approach focused on preventing opponents goal-scoring opportunities - to include the new idea of the swift counter-attack.
Counter-attacking being a rapid back-to-the-front tactic typically beginning with long passes from the defence catching opponents out of position while they are focused on attacking manuevers.
Key to the catenaccio system – and rapid counter-attacking - was the introduction of the role of a libero or sweeper. The libero is a free creative defender who operates behind a line of three defenders, ‘sweeping up’ loose balls, double-marking and setting up counter-attacks from behind the defence.
The Grande Inter team were captained by libero Armando Picchi.
Though perhaps the most famous sweeper of all is the German, Franz Beckenbauer.
The irony of this fact shall become apparent.
Herrera was also notable introducing motivational psych tactics and was good for a few one-liners.
‘Class + Preparation + Intelligence + Athleticism = Championships’
But while Inter and catenaccio were dominating European football a new development began to emerge in the Netherlands.
Totaalvoetbal, (total football) pioneered by Ajax of Amsterdam, under the guidance of coach Rinus Michels emerged from around 1965, flourished between 1970 and 1974, and that one night in May 1972 appeared to have effectively killed Herrera's catenaccio stone dead.
To observers at the time totaalvoetbal, seemed to be the antithesis of catenaccio.
For a start, totaalvoetbal is an attack-oriented strategy.
A pro-active approach. There is no counter-attacking, total football works by constant positional interchange among the players, pressing hard to gain and keep possession while preventing the opposition from having the ball.
The genius of total football was its agile approach.
NO player is fixed in his role; anyone can assume the role of an attacker, a midfielder or a defender, depending on the nature of the play.
In the 1970-73 era Ajax dominated the domestic Dutch league and won three successive European Cups. In 1972, after Ajax defeated Inter 2–0 in that European Cup final the experts confidently announced the victory as the ‘destruction of catenaccio’ .
The final nail in the catenaccio coffin was the following year as Ajax destroyed Milan 6–0 to lift the European Super Cup.
While seemingly polar opposites in approach - catenaccio being defence oriented, totaalvoetbal attack based – there are commonalities.
The Dutch striker Johan Cruyff, for example, was totaalvoetbal’s poster child.
Cruyff was officially a centre forward, however he played all over the pitch, starting attacks from wherever he could collect a pass.
Cruyff's teammates had to adapt themselves flexibly around his movements, regularly switching positions so that the team kept its shape, although the positions were filled by anyone.
In a sense the Cruyff role was the attacking free role version of the defensive libero of the Grande Inter era.
Cruyff summed up his (total football) philosophy:
"Simple football is the most beautiful. But playing simple football is the hardest thing."
The 1970/71 Ajax coach Michels was later appointed Dutch national team coach for the 1974 FIFA World Cup in Germany.
Unsurprisingly, most of the 1974 squad were players from Ajax and rivals Feyenoord (who also played a style similar to the Ajax totaalvoetbal).
The Dutch cruised through their first and second round matches, defeating Argentina 4–0, East Germany 2–0, and holders Brazil 2–0 to set up a final with hosts West Germany, which they were expected to win.
So, when Johan Neeskens scored from the penalty spot to give the Netherlands a 1–0 lead within 80 seconds of play (and before a German player had even touched the ball) totaalvoetbal’s moment on the global stage seemed to be imminent.
However, the German defenders Beri Vogts and – in a throwback to the Inter catenaccio system – libero Franz Beckenbauer, were able to snuff out Cruyff's influence, dominate midfield, and went on to win 2-1.
Using the same strategy, the Dutch reached the 1978 World Cup final only to fall once more at the final hurdle, this time to Argentina.
Perhaps totaalvoetbal could be countered?
Perhaps defensive football was not destroyed?
Though neither the ’74 German side, nor the ’78 Argentina team would be described as defensive, in the catenaccio sense.
Even Beckenbauer, in his sweeper role, often played further up the pitch into midfield.
While both the park-the-bus and counter-attack of catenaccio, and the all-out-attack of totaalvoetbal, had each delivered success in the short term it turns out that neither strategy was enough on its own .
Just like how ‘performance’ based direct digital marketing that seeks to capture intent and convert will not deliver long term effects on its own, without the presence of brand building work, conducted consistently over time to create demand.
Just this week, Amsterdam’s own Martin Weigel addressed this very issue, in a long piece - that is worth taking the time to digest in its entirety – a section of which is quoted below..
‘Under pressure to account for our activities and to show that they are having an effect (any effect) and hooked on the crack cocaine of the short-term, we seize on intermediate metrics…like crazed junkies desperate for the next fix.
This data might be exciting, it might be highly responsive to communications activity, it might be easy to measure, and it might give us impressive sounding numbers to use in case study videos, but it is short-term data that tells us nothing about the long-term business effects of our efforts.
Worse, our holding up of short-term metrics that simply measure the exposure of consumers to our ideas as evidence of our success relegates our contribution to the mere distribution of content. And so – such is our appetite for evidence that something happened in the short-term – we relentlessly conspire to render the creation of enduring ideas, the building of memories, the shaping of perceptions, preferences, and behaviours a trivial side-show.
The very things which that are the source of our value as an industry, and the generators of sustainable value for brands and businesses.’
The way forward is not this OR that, but this AND that.
Johan Cruyff, at the end of his playing career now knew this.
He took over as coach of Barcelona in1988 and continued through to 1996.
During this time Cruyff introduced a new theory.
Tiki-taka
Cruyff’s revelation incorporated the purism of totaalvoetbal and the pragmatism of catenaccio.
Not this OR that, but this AND that.
Characterised by zonal play, short passing and movement, working the ball through various channels, and maintaining possession tiki-taka is associated with Barcelona from Johan Cruyff's era through to the present, and also the Spanish national team.
Crucially, Tiki-taka is "both defensive and offensive in equal measure" – the team is always in possession, so never needs to switch between defending and attacking.
Tiki-taka – as employed by the Spanish national team has won them Euro 2008, the 2010 World Cup and Euro 2012.
And also continues to be used by arguably the greatest club team in the world, Barcelona, which have won two European Champion’s League titles in recent years while also co-dominating Spanish domestic football (alongside the slightly more pragmatic Real Madrid).
Tika-taka has been described as the most difficult version of football possible: an uncompromising passing game, coupled with intense, high pressing.
To the same token, combining direct response with long term brand-building - 'brand response' - is not easy either. In fact it's perhaps the most difficult form of marketing possible.
Further in Martin Wiegel’s article he points out:
‘The short-term is invariably easier to manage and measure than the long-term…what is important, and what is easy to measure, are not always the same thing. We forget the distinction between the important and the easy at our peril.’
Cruyff, similarly is wary of being data or performance driven at the expense of all else.
'I find it terrible when talents are rejected based on computer data. Based on the criteria at Ajax now I would have been rejected. When I was 15, I couldn’t kick a ball 15 meters with my left and maybe 20 with my right. My qualities - technique and vision - are not detectable by a computer’.
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Posted by
Eaon Pritchard
at
Friday, May 15, 2015
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Labels: advertising
Wednesday, May 06, 2015
football's not a matter of life or death, it's nudge more important than that.
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Eaon Pritchard
at
Wednesday, May 06, 2015
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Labels: nudge
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
the brains of millennials are (not) being rewired by the internet
1. A proliferation of neuro-bollocks (this shall be addressed in another post)
2. And the brain-as-computer metaphor.
'The mind is a system of organs of computation, designed by natural selection to solve the kinds of problems our ancestors faced in their foraging way of life'
In this sense the mind is more like an iPhone.
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Eaon Pritchard
at
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
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Labels: brain
Thursday, April 30, 2015
the reduce speed dial
Behaviour change 101 (actually there are a few but this is one) decrees that in order to move a behaviour then making adjustments to the environment in which the behaviour occurs can be very effective.
Many of your classic nudges play to this principle.
The fly 'target' in urinals, mirrors at the cake counter and the eyes on the poster behind the honesty box, for example.
Road safety is one of those areas that is problematic for those trying to modify behaviour.
Speeding in particular.
Often Road Safety communications have relied on fear campaigns or threats of death or punishment, however theres a mountain of research that suggests framing any kind of road use as ‘death-defying’ is not always a good strategy, it can be (unconsciously) received as a kind of challenge, especially among males.
It's also apparent that the only real feedback we get about our behaviour on the road is when its too late.
We get a speeding ticket, nearly hit another road user or get hit ourselves.
Even armed with this knowledge, making environmental interventions is hard.
There have been some decent attempts, including the rightly celebrated Swedish Speed Camera Lottery - developed for Volkwagen's Fun Theory project - whereby drivers driving at or below the speed limit were photograhed and entered into a prize lottery, the winnings were funded came from the fines collected from fining the drivers who did not obey the speed limit.
What this also demonstrated is that, government and policy can only go so far.
On the road interventions can only go so far.
The real environment where the behaviour occurs is inside the vehicle (and inside the drivers head).
All of which is why we were attracted to the experiment in the video below. conducted for Volkswagen in New Zealand by our friends at Colenso BBDO.
They say
'In a controlled experiment, we created a replacement panel for the speedo in four Volkswagen Golfs. They followed all of the clarity and safety restrictions of a standard speedo, but the dial was personally hand written by a loved one. This simple, personal mnemonic aims to remind drivers what they have to live for at the exact moment they consider speeding.'
Aside from the techno wizardry the interesting thing for us was the core behavioural nugget at the centre of the idea.
It's been well documented that priming people with pictures of babies faces can trigger caring and nurturing behaviour in adults.
So by inserting primes of the drivers own children right into the operations of the vehicle - amplifying the prime with a bit of extra Darwinian urgency - makes it extra cool.
For agency types it's also encouraging to see our peers being properly engaged by their clients in using their smarts to experiment around problems other than those that are exclusively communications or advertising.
By all accounts the experiment nudged the subjects driving behaviour in this instance - albeit a small sample - but its easy to imagine subsequent iterations or adaptations using this kind of thinking to address other problem driving behaviour (drink driving? spacial awareness re: cyclists etc are just two) and from a commercial standpoint then as a mass customisation tool, on a global level, then it's easy to see the possibilities.
File under: designing environments to optimise the chances of a desirable behaviour, through (at least partly) unconscious influence.
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Posted by
Eaon Pritchard
at
Thursday, April 30, 2015
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Labels: psychology, technology
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
the streisand effect
Turns out there was nothing much to see, it was a picture of a big house.
Except now it was a picture of a big house reposted on hundreds of websites and the 'problem' (that was never really a problem) was a thousand time worse.
As a card-carrying fatty myself, perhaps I should be joining them.
It's also reasonable to argue Dove's semi-real time response mimicking the Protein World branding and creative treatment simply helped amplify 'recognition' value for the original, given the almost invisible nature of the Dove branding. For the distracted and indifferent consumer (ie just about everyone) the 'parody' could, for al intents and purposes, be just another extension of that 'beach body' thing that they vaguely remember hearing something about.
[*UPDATE 10.23am* It's been pointed out to me that the Dove parody was not an official Dove communication, but was still widely shared so the point is still valid]
What is unclear is why this particular campaign has particularly irked those who find these things irksome.
A cursory Google search on Beach Body or Bikini Body even, throws up thousands of articles, diets, sports nutrition and fitness DVDs all illustrated in a similar manner, and presented by brands like Cosmopolitan, Womens Health mag and suchlike.
Protein World will perhaps just accept their good fortune, in having caught this week's wave of conspicuous outrage - or what James Bartholemew in the Spectator this week called virtue signalling.
Not exactly the Streisand Effect, but enough is enough.
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Eaon Pritchard
at
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
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Labels: advertising
Friday, April 24, 2015
over the counter-culture
In the commodity form the establishment attempts to transform the 'other' into meaningless 'exotica'.
Or, secondly the ‘other’ is trivialised. What was 'otherness' is reduced to 'sameness'.
Music began to lose it's signalling and galvanising power because it became an individualised 'pleasure' commodity product consumed (for free) by individuals in private within their earbuds.
That's if the individuals could even make it through the 3 minutes without pressing skip.
Therefore consumer capitalism’s (profitable) relationship with the counter-culture has changed forever.
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Posted by
Eaon Pritchard
at
Friday, April 24, 2015
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Labels: philosophy
Thursday, April 16, 2015
you get what you pay for
Every week now there seems to be another social media marketing disaster, usually revolving around the hijacking of the campaign hashtag or - as in the case of the lamentable #freshinourmemories debacle most recently - the hijacking of a 'branded' meme generator gizmo.
Blamestorming from the chattering classes obviously divides it's finger-pointing towards either the agency or the client.
I'll always tend to look at the agency and wonder what on earth they were thinking.
It's grade-A Dunning-Kruger.
In the #freshinourmemories case it appears that the agency in question may pay heavily.
Their website has gone offline completely and other clients have been reported to have dumped them.
But this hurts us all. It makes the whole industry looks bad.
To those who would blame the client - they signed it off etc - I would say, perhaps.
But then don't expect clients to come to agencies for strategic counsel for much longer.
Do we want to be just implementers?
Einstein famously defined insanity as doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results. He'd be having a laugh at this business.
But here's a question.
Would there have been the same kerfuffle if the campaign had been a bunch of press ads and posters, for example?
Media that had to be paid for.
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Posted by
Eaon Pritchard
at
Thursday, April 16, 2015
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Labels: costly signalling
Thursday, April 02, 2015
the return of nietzsche marketing [ #dashbutton edition]
We conducted a small survey on supermarket shopping behaviour using the agency staff as our sample group of around 50.
It was relatively unscientific, however, the aim was to crudely test one particular covert thought.
We simply asked our respondents if they used a shopping list when visiting the supermarket.
For those who answered 'yes' we asked them to provide an example of a typical shopping list.
For those who answered 'no' we asked them to jot down what their mental list might typically be, anyway.
This gave us some interesting feedback - scribbled paper lists were by far the most popular, followed by self-text messages - and among this group no-one used a list-type app.
But that wasn't what we were really looking at.
Recently we've been reading Herb Sorensen's 2009 book 'Inside the Mind of the Shopper'.
His research that suggests that:
1. Around half of supermarket trips result in baskets of 5 items or less.
2. The most common basket size is just one item.
(This data is further referenced in the Byron Sharp textbook 'Marketing: Theory, Evidence, Practice' Chapter 8.)
Close to 90% of our responses contained 5 items or fewer.
The other 10% were 6.
For psych fans, and in the context of of Millers Law - The Magic Number 7, this was also curious.
The 'law' asserts that humans can retain 7 (plus or minus 2) pieces of information easily in working memory.
It turns out that this is less of a law and more of a decent hunch, the real number is closer to 5.
We could infer then, that shopping lists (list apps or other ‘solutions’) don’t necessarily add any utility to shoppers. We are reasonably capable of remembering 5 things.
More on shopping technology in a minute.
So our data was obviously slightly skewed as midweek shopping trips will be more likely to be quick trips, but you get the general idea, and our mode was 2 (pretty close to 1).
(Milk, bread and tissues in case you are wondering.)
Again, all this was interesting but not what I wanted to observe.
What I was looking for was specific brand name mentions.
And among the 86 different product categories listed by our respondents were only two instances of brand names.
Everything else was generic category - bread, milk, fruit, meat, tissues etc.
This seemed to be clear indication that, for the most part, people set out to buy from categories first, brands come second.
Of course preferences do exist, but these are more implicit rather than explicit.
In many fmcg categories brand either doesn't exist or is invisible (meat, fruit, vegetables) might exist but have little or no effect (bread, milk) and in the categories where it does have some influence the brand that gets bought is the one most salient at the point, and context of purchase.
Familiarity, popularity, habit and availability drive FMCG categories.
Unlike fashion or cars for example there is no 'display' or 'social' value for consumers.
One's choice of washing powder does not signal anything to anyone else.
It is simply something to be consumed.
Display value is only a marginally stronger pull anyway.
This is the eternal conundrum for commodity type brands.
All of which is the long way round to looking at Amazon Dash.
The Dash Button is a single-use Wi-Fi enabled ordering device for a selected set of partners including Gillette, Pampers, Tide and Olay. You press it and it orders directly - and frictionless - for you.
The promise of, for example, self-replenishing fridges, has long been part of the lore of 'the internet of things' and this appears to be Amazon’s play in that area, allowing customers to instantly repeat buy partner brands without thinking about it, more importantly, without being distracted by a competing brand at the shelf.
For the remainder of this piece we need to put aside any notions of could/should.
Amazon (and the other SV corporate giants) winner-takes-all disintermediation of every category imaginable is another debate.
Though as Andrew Keen quotes in 'The Internet is Not The Answer'.
“In Darwinian terms these new corporate giants are just the latest stage in the evolution of the public corporation, they exist to create wealth—vast quantities of it—for their founders and shareholders.
Their imperative is to grow and achieve dominance in their chosen markets—as well as in others which they now deem to be within their reach. They are as hostile to trade unions, taxation, and regulation as John D. Rockefeller, J. P. Morgan and Andrew Carnegie ever were in their day. The only difference is that the new titans employ far fewer people, enjoy higher margins and are less harassed by governments than their predecessors.”
For FMCG brands, however, this is of little concern. Distribution is distribution.
What's interesting here is not the idea that push button instant replenishment is anything to do with notions of brand loyalty (active, in an attitudinal sense).
But is everything about enabling 'loyalty' in the passive behavioural sense.
On the one hand, commodity products with no display value can try and create 'meaning' by spending on huge emotional advertising - eg P&G's 'Thank You Mom' and the like.
Being famous and familiar will always be important.
But the Dash Button is somehow more refreshingly Nietzschean in it's acceptance of the kind of emptiness of consumption. In reaching acceptance that it will never be loved Tide is now happy just to be bought.
Who will press a button to order Tide? Or 5 boxes of Tide?
Well, we've already seen that people will trek to the supermarket for less than five items.
And most of the time for just one.
To come back to Professor Sharp's idea of brand salience, by which we mean the propensity of a particular brand to come to mind in a particular buying or usage situation.
If the buying situation occurs at the point of usage, ie in front of the washing machine then the brand that was last used, and the brand on the button becomes the most salient by default. No other brand is in it.
This is what Dave Trott might describe as 'getting upstream of the problem'.
People will never love their soap powder brand, but will be inclined to repeat purchase out of habit providing nothing else gets in the way.
So make sure nothing else gets in the way, then.
There's a statement attributed to Jeff Bezos that we often recall and use.
Bezos says that - given that Amazon are a cutting-edge tech retailer - people are interested in their innovation pipeline and therefore he often fields questions asking about what Jeff thinks might change in business in the next 5-10 years.
His reply is that he is more interested in what will stay the same. Because you can build a business on things that are stable in time.
People will always want things faster and cheaper.>
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Posted by
Eaon Pritchard
at
Thursday, April 02, 2015
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Labels: amazon das hutton
Friday, March 27, 2015
the cult of authenticity [five minutes]
Sorry young millennials.
You are not special.
Your old Gen X mums and dads were just as confused as you, in their day.
'Ultimately, the uneasy relationship The Stranglers had with the punk scene reflected the need that the various protagonists within the movement had for 'authenticity'.
In 'The Culture Of Narcissism', Lasch had noticed that in the late-industrial cultures of the West, in which basic needs had become easily satisfied, and new wants had to be created by the propaganda....a “cult of authenticity” had emerged within “the spectacle” of consumerism that fetishised spontaneity and the confessional.
Punk’s most glaring, and therefore most sensitive, internal contradiction was that it was a largely manufactured movement that was intended to give vent to the organic, spontaneous rage of British youth.
The Stranglers weren’t marginalised because their “opportunism” made them less “real” than the other punk groups. They were marginalised because their established history drew attention to the inauthenticity of the others.'
Identity, Status, Structure and The Stranglers by Phil Knight.
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Posted by
Eaon Pritchard
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Friday, March 27, 2015
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Labels: authenticity, stranglers









